Posts Tagged ‘accounting’

BC’s New Media Tax Credit

Monday, February 22nd, 2010

BC has announced that it’s creating a new 17.5% tax credit for costs primarily undertaken towards development of interactive entertainment products.

This industry is huge in BC, but the appreciation of our dollar against other currencies (primarily the USD) is hurting new investment by the largest players: Electronic Arts, Ubisoft, and Disney. Why produce here when their American staff are just as inexpensive now?

The new credit will force devs to choose between taking it and taking provincial SR&ED credits on the same expenses — which they will, because the new credit is included at 17.5% while shreds come in at a paltry 10% (federal shreds are unaffected).

In normal-person-talk, this means that videogame development is going to get 7.5% cheaper in the new budget, including for small developers like SIN.

BC Ferries Flexes Its Status…

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010

… as a quasi-public entity to consciously lose [some] money during the Olympics — something no private company* would ever do — just because BCF thinks it’ll be good for the community long-term.

The ferry company has added an extra sailings in both directions on the Tsawwassen-Schwartz Bay, Horseshoe Bay to Departure Bay and Langdale-Sunshine Coast routes. Marshall said that the ferry company wants to be able to make sure residents of Vancouver Island and the Sunshine Coast can go see the Games and sleep in their own beds that night.

The extra sailings cost $2 million each and haven’t been full, Marshall said, adding the company expects traffic to pick up.

“While it’s not a great money-maker opportunity right now, we feel that long-term down the road with tourism it’s a great idea and we wanted to provide that opportunity to residents,” Marshall said.

Of course, this comes on the heels of the government announcing a reform of the Ferry company, perhaps for its compensation practices.

At the same time, the province appeared to single out the quasi-independent B.C. Ferries corporation for “new accountability and transparency” that Campbell said would likely require new legislation. A B.C. Ferries spokeswoman said she had no idea what government was planning.

It’s the latest government shot across B.C. Ferries’ bow. A provincial review last year said ferry executives were being paid too much.

This could be an interesting bit of political gamesmanship. I get the feeling there’s play in British Colombian’s feelings towards the entity. It’s possible to squeeze a lot of feelings out of me, for example, about the company — I have a lot of fond family memories associated with trips to Vancouver: vacations, Expo ‘86, coin-op Galaga on-board, sunny school trips in early summer on-deck, learning to fold origami with the foil from my parents’ packages of Player Lights against the safety-ridge of the publican plastic-moulded coffee-square tables while hugging my favorite woolen monkey-doll and felted parrot hand-puppet.

As an adult I’m a committed fiscal progressive-conservative: I don’t mind spending money if its for a good reason, ideally with some kind of statistical measure. The Olympics, for example, are so complex even the accounting for them is up for reasonable debate — for example, how much of the cost for the Canada “RAV” Line should be allocated to the Olympics, which was used politically to push funding for the service through?

To get specific and take a stand: I would prefer BC Ferries to be wholly in public hands, partly for cultural reasons (I think it’s quasi-public status does it a cultural disservice).

As it currently operates, BC Ferries is effectively part of Highway 1, and is a necessary service for the island. It operates as a toll-bridge, and making toll booths private transfers huge amounts of money in very Pareto-efficient ways, making them almost as profitable as the private insurance business. Essentially: a monopoly on essential transport is being slowly transitioned to private hands at great, enduring cost to the public who helped pay to establish it.

I’ve long thought that perhaps — perhaps — the ferry docks should be made accessible to private competitors on the same routes using some kind of impartial round-robin scheduling. This would use the power of the market to provide “free” supplemental schedule coverage to BCF, would create employment, and tax and dock usage fee revenue. However, that might be some kind of third-way utopia that wouldn’t actually work :)

* I don’t like the conflicting meanings of “public” and “private” companies depending on whether you’re talking about government or business. Accountants have well-defined, but non-snappy words to use (eg, “Canadian Controlled Private Corporation”), but I’d prefer something that rolls more off the tongue… That’ll be another article.

A Statistical Analysis of The Housing Decision

Thursday, August 20th, 2009

Forgive my flat tone in this post, I’ve been exhausted for weeks and weeks.

There is one basic housing decision: Rental versus Ownership. I disregard homelessness as a degenerate case (EV $0, but high social cost). Below I will show that a mixed rental-ownership strategy dominates the expected value of straight ownership.

Case 1: Renting Only

Let’s say you rent a place for $1,000 per month for 25 years and rent increases at 5% per year. To simplify, let’s peg prevailing interest rates at 7%.

The present value of this decision is given by (A / (i – g))[1 - ((1 + g)/(1 + i))^n], where A is the rental payment, i is the prevailing interest rate, g is the growth in the payment, and n is 25 years * 12 months.

PV = (A / (i – g))[1 - ((1 + g)/(1 + i))^n = (-1000 / (7% - 5%))[1 - (1.05 / 1.07)^300] ~= $49,825.97

The cost to you today of the “I will rent for 25 years” decision is, let’s call it $49,850.

Case 2: Owning Only

This is a more complicated decision. Let’s pick some numbers:

Home value: $375,000
25% down: $93,750
Mortgage life: 25 years

Let’s say that your home grows in value 5% per year and prevailing interest rates are 7%. Let’s make a further simplifying assumption (because I want to go to bed soon) that you’re the LeBron James of mortgage negotiations and you’ve locked that interest rate down for the whole 25 year period.

You’ve saved $93,750 and put that down so your mortgage is for $281,250. Whipping out the RBC mortgage calculatrix on these naughty numbers you can see that your mortgage payment is $1,969.92 per month — call it $2,000.

Because mortgages are basically just present value calculations we’re almost there. The last component of the calculation is something accountants call “salvage value” — what you get for the asset at the end of its life. Let’s assume you never make repairs and sell it as soon as you pay off the mortgage.

If the house grows in value 5% per year for 25 years it is worth:

$375,000 * 1.05^25 = $1,269,883.10

(Aside: Yes, by the time you’re in your mid-50s that’s what condos and similar will cost. This is why you need to save early and often. See why I’ve been studying wealth management since high school?)

The present value of $1,269,883.10 in twenty-five years at 7% interest today is, similarly:

$1,269,883.10 / (1.07)^25 = $233,975 (approx.)

So the total cost of the “ownership only” strategy is $233,975 in future salvage value which accrues to you today less an outlay of $375,000, for a net present value of -$141,025.

Since we’d like to compare that to case one’s rental flows we should double the rental rate from $1,000 to $2,000 to closer approximate the mortgage payment of about $2,000. For the sake of simplicity, again, let’s leave aside the costs of obtaining the down payment. So the present value of renting is then about -$99,700 and the present value of ownership is about -$141,025.

Both cases are hugely negative value sinks. They’re not really comparable because these are made up numbers — the purchase and salvage value in particular are big variables given fixed growth and interest rates — but I think we’re basically being reasonable here.

Clearly owning a house costs more than renting. The excess comes from the difference between upfront costs and salvage value, which in reality can more than cancel making rental more expensive. But luckily that’s not my point: The same dynamic applies equally in the case below, for which all of this is but groundwork. :)

Case 3: Mixed Rental and Ownership

Let’s recap our adjusted rough comparables:

Rent: $2,000 per month.
Own: $2,000 per month plus $93,750 down plus $288,250 mortgage less $233,975 salvage.

Now let’s assume that, instead of renting or owning, you both rented and owned. Specifically that you rented a place to live, bought the house, and then rented it out to a third party. Again, for simplicity’s sake, let’s just say they pay the same as you in rent. The new net present value calculation looks like this:

PV(rent & own) = PV(rent) + PV(own) + PV(rental income)

We know all those numbers though as PV(rental income) is just -PV(rent) (per our simplifying assumption) so it becomes:

PV(rent & own) = PV(own)

Innnnteresting: Renting while owning is the same as just owning, assuming you rent your house for what you pay! However, it’s probably more reasonable to assume that you rent a smaller place than the one you own, which you let out to a family. Let’s assume that you rent the house out for $100 more than you yourself pay in rent. From above (this is easy because it’s just 10% of our original rental estimate):

PV(extra) = (A / (i – g))[1 - ((1 + g)/(1 + i))^n = (100 / (7% - 5%))[1 - (1.05 / 1.07)^300] ~= $4,985.

PV(rent & own) = PV(own) + PV(extra)

If everything goes according to plan PV(extra) is going to be positive so the net result is that renting and owning is always cheaper than just owning. This wouldn’t be true, for example, if you let out a condo while leasing a mansion, but that’s degenerate bone-headery. More likely you’d have trouble finding tenants but as long as you’d make any positive amount per month on average over 25 years you’ll be in the clear.

Wealth is all about accepting calculated risks.

Anyway, this is all pretty hand-wavey, but I think I’ve described the basic theory. The trick is finding real places that fit into the numbers of this framework, but, and this is the neat part: That is always possible given a big enough down payment.

Further, if you pick a down payment size that forces your monthly mortgage payment to be lower than what you can rent the place for, including all other costs, then not only does the above nice result hold but you get another. You could, in theory, keep doing it again and again until your accumulated PV(extras) move the entire calculation positive. Then you’d actually be making money from accommodation instead of spending money on it, net, all while renting.

Then you can buy however many single family dwellings you need to make your spouse happy without pushing your net accommodation present value into the negative :)

This, in broad strokes, is my own wealth management plan.

HST: These are the Breaks

Sunday, August 2nd, 2009

I don’t see a lot of value in discussing the HST because:

  1. It’s boring for most people to discuss taxes, and
  2. There’s nothing anyone can do — decision’s been made.

Bottom line, here’s what’s happening. First, they’re changing all of the provincial tax rules that they’ve wanted to for ages. The HST project is too complicated for special interests to understand and complain about. This isn’t a straight combination of the provincial and federal systems, the government is increasing its cut.

Housing taxes are going to increase — the market is still hot so the brakes are going on, at least for new home sales.

Investment returns are going to drop. The government is pissed that returns have turned out to be largely fictitious so they’re rolling brokerage fees into the HST, thus decreasing net effective rates of return. This’ll make it harder for losing or break-even fund managers and brokers to ride along on the backs of unwitting clients.

Last, employment is taking a hit. The provincial ministry alone is shedding 500 jobs because they’re no longer collecting PST. The government is hoping that increased collection efficiency will decrease frictional costs to business and allow them to hire more: Trickle-down Reganomics, 80s-style.

Canada’s Economic Action Plan: Don’t Believe The Hype

Saturday, July 18th, 2009

I caught a couple of commercials for Canada’s EAP recently*.

I don’t like the government spending money on commercials, there’s something dirty about it. There’s an argument that they need to educate citizens about tax changes, but these ads aren’t educational. They repeat a phrase that bothers me. It’s something to the effect:

“The Home Renovation Tax Credit. Put your tax dollars back into your home.”

That’s the Conservatives trying to buy our votes with public funds while stimulating the [home renovation part of the] economy. A tax credit is a partial offset, and it requires initial outlay. You are not spending tax dollars.

The HRTC’s not a deduction, which offset your taxes at, usually, 100%. If you deduct $1,000 at a 15% tax rate, you offset your taxes payable by $1,000. If you get a tax credit for $1,000 at a 15% tax rate, your taxes are offset by $150.

The quip should be: “The Home Renovation Tax Credit. If you spend money renovating your home we’ll give you a fraction of it back at the end of the year.”

That’s less catchy though. The government’s phraseology is newspeaky frame control that implies that you’re getting some kind of fantastic deal.

Don’t believe the hype.

* Aside: The Truman Show is an amazing, amazing movie. Forced perspective FTW in the final sequence!

Cash Versus Accrual in Government Accounting

Wednesday, June 17th, 2009

The Tyee reports that the BC government is running a cash deficit. This is the kind of story the NDP should have released before the election — before!

Most people don’t have the theoretical background to call bullshit on the author, and “1.4 billion dollar cash deficit” sounds really bad. They could have made a lot of political hay… But I suppose parties that make simple strategic mistakes shouldn’t be in power.

Government accounting is a triple threat: boring, complicated, and corrupt. The whole mess should be run as a non-profit with quad-entry bookkeeping, full consolidation, and complete annual audits. Everyone else plays by those rules — so should the people who enforce them!

But in this case the article is yellow-tinged. Studies show accrual accounting, when not interfered with by management, is better at representing the financial position of organizations than cash accounting. Here’s why, very roughly:

You buy an asset with a 10-year life for $100,000 and it pays you $1,000 per year. After a couple of years you request a summary from your chartered accountant.

Cash accounting says your ROI is infinity: You’re getting $1,000 per year at no cost.

Accrual accounting gives the correct result. The cost of the asset is actually $10,000 per year ($100,000 cost / 10 year life) and you match that with the $1,000 per year income for a return of 10%. Simple check: $1,000 per year * 10 years / $100,000 cost = 10% return on investment at purchase time.

The Tyee article claims the government’s running a $1.4 billion-plus cash deficit this year. That can be from payment of old obligations allocated to previous years, or more likely from funding multi-year stimulus programs allocated to future years.

BC has a history of doing shady stuff like using non-arms length suppliers and incorrectly allocating expenditures to crown corps that report non-consolidated figures, but it sounds like we’re on the level here.

Incorrect allocations is what they were doing at BCBC when I was there. Basically what you do is, for example, buy a provincial weather control satellite for a billion bux and then allocate the expense to BC Ferries “to make crossings safer” or something. The province gets a weather control satellite, BC Ferries reports a staggering loss, and, assuming Ferries isn’t fully consolidated, there’s no change in reported government spending. I think this is illegal now.

In short: “Cash-versus-accrual” isn’t anything to stress over. The government is doing the correct, logical thing.

That’s the first time Jack’s ever said that! His cognitive behavioral therapy seems to be working…

The Government Needs Critical Accounting

Wednesday, June 17th, 2009

The CCPA tried to measure how much we benefit from public service. But they noted that the biggest problem with their study is that actually the only data available is to measure the cost of public services consumed by households. Government cannot use the market theory of value because the things government produces (mostly as a monopoly) are not traded in markets; instead, government accountants use the cost-of-production theory of value.

Cost theories of value have been rejected by neoclassical economics. Not having any way of measuring the value besides the cost means that cost-benefit analysis is meaningless. So when business people look at government services they see them as at most zero net benefit.

This is similar to the problem of measuring government’s success by changes in gross domestic product (GDP). Government needs critical accounting more desperately than the private sector does.

FLDS Blackmore v. Revenue

Monday, June 15th, 2009

Jared Facebooked me the following, a Globe story about the Canadian government going after an FLDS elder for polygamy and tax evasion.

In adding up Mr. Blackmore’s income and benefits, the federal government identifies numerous expenses that tax officials say were for personal benefit or the benefit of his polygamous community, and not for business reasons. The list of items include payments for rental housing and for hockey game tickets, expenses related to the use of a Cessna aircraft and paying off personal credit cards.

Expenses which aren’t undertaken to earn business income are allocated to an account, usually called something like “Loans to Shareholders”. At the end of the fiscal period this account is closed against shareholder compensation to minimize taxes.

Pretend you put a personal-use G6 on your corporate black card. Here are the journal entries:

dr. Shareholder Loan (jet) $60 million
cr. Account Payable (Amex) $60 million

Then at tax prep time:

dr. Shareholder Compensation $60 million
cr. Shareholder Loan (jet) $60 million

Simplifying the entries (canceling the loan cr/dr):

dr. Shareholder Compensation $60 million
cr. Account Payable (Amex) $60 million

You’re essentially appropriating value from the company. The problem is when the government asks you to pay taxes on that $60 million — you can’t remit 50% of a private jet.

This also applies to family members of shareholders, which leads to an odd situation. Blackmore is accused of polygamy, and has asked the government to pay for his defense. The CRA audit of his accounts apparently included Blackmore corporate disbursements to his poly-wives and poly-kids in Blackmore’s income, as above.

The tax department also challenges the payment of $40,953.87 in 2003 to Ruth Lane, who is identified in the court document as Mr. Blackmore’s spouse. A woman named Ruth Ann Lane is one of 19 woman allegedly in a polygamous relationship with Mr. Blackmore. “Lane did not perform any work for the company during the 2003 taxation year,” the federal government states. The amount paid to Ms. Lane was “unreported employment remuneration” for Mr. Blackmore, the government says.

Because they’ve deemed his non-cash income to be so high, they’re saying he should pay for his own defense.

Canada assumed Blackmore’s guilt, and is using that assumption to financially short-circuit his defense against the accusation. This doesn’t seem very fair. I know there’s a privacy firewall between the CRA and law enforcement — you’re supposed to report and pay taxes on income from illegal activities — but surely if the tax court says he’s a polygamist for tax purposes that will bias the criminal court’s decision on whether he’s a polygamist for jail purposes? Any IANALs in da house?

A quick note on polygamy: It shouldn’t be illegal — government out of the bedroom! Remember that result in sociology, that people lump “sexual deviants” together? It’s why people used to be paranoid that gay men shouldn’t teach children, because they’re “obviously” paedophiles. Same thing here.

“Polygamy” is, let’s be honest, another cultural shorthand for paedophilia. Rather than confusing the issue with moralizing and religion we should enforce existing age of consent and human trafficking rules. There is no good reason that consenting adults blah blah blah, you can take it from here.